Thursday Night NFL Picks

Thursday Night Football!

New York Jets (-1.5) vs. Buffalo Bills
Ov/Un: 40.0

• "Great White" Big Unit Play: N/A
• "Great White"Small Unit Play: Over 40.0
• "Great White"Flyer: Bills +1.

-Big Unit Play:  Why no Big Unit Play?  Simple.  I don't trust hardly ANY football team this early in the season and I wouldn't dare put big money on either these teams just yet.  Especially with them being so identical.

-Small Unit Play:  Typically, any game involving two teams with 2 "supposedly" great defenses Las Vegas sets the total around mid-30's. Any game involving a Rex Ryan coached team (or teams- if you count him just leaving the Jets) usually has a spread around 35-ish and that game typically stays under.  I'm gonna go the other way tonight.  That spread just seems too high given the matchup.  My guess is Vegas know something.  Maybe it's the fact the weather is going to be beautiful in Buffalo tonight around near 70 degrees, along with the fact the Jets just gave up 23 points to Cincinnati, but I'm gonna take a small change on this one tonight.

-Flyer:  Taking a Flyer with the Bills. Bills have won the last 5 meetings between them and I'm praying the Universe doesn't decide to balance the shit out now.  Sammy Watkins is back.  He'll be covered by Darrelle Revis. Hopefully that frees other guys within the secondary for Taylor. If it was mid-season and there was a better overall feel for these teams, maybe I'd have more faith. But again..just way too early to go hard on either these teams.

Happy Betting!

"GREAT WHITE"